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Red53
86522.5
77221.3
672517.4
Blue36
493811.5
687511.1
459511.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56382030506070805336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#14
22.50.2
21.221.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End5.2
red by 10.6
4595
#34
11.90.3
12.011.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.8
Second
772
#9
21.30.2
17.617.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.4
End6.8
red by 9.8
4938
#20
11.50.2
13.313.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Third
6725
#31
17.40.3
13.813.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End4.8
red by 6.3
6875
#38
11.10.2
10.710.5
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed