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Red67
494013.8
633115.4
263422.2
Blue52
588526.3
688111.0
492017.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525602040801006752

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#18
22.20.2
21.021.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
blue by 4.1
5885
#10
26.30.5
27.627.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End9.0
Second
6331
#30
15.40.2
14.614.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End3.9
blue by 1.9
4920
#16
17.30.5
14.814.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End7.1
Third
4940
#23
13.80.3
13.413.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End4.6
red by 2.8
6881
#25
11.00.8
11.110.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed89%HAB Docking oddsEarned