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Red50
582112.1
499215.7
494013.8
Blue30
775716.0
705816.5
78009.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3849102030607080905030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#15
15.70.1
9.810.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End3.6
blue by 0.8
7058
#13
16.52.1
19.317.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End6.1
Second
4940
#23
13.80.1
13.713.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End4.6
blue by 2.2
7757
#28
16.01.3
16.915.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Third
5821
#29
12.10.1
12.112.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End2.8
red by 2.3
7800
#32
9.81.3
10.08.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsMissed