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Red65
775716.0
403929.6
493811.5
Blue65
493622.8
588526.3
285224.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5979401006565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.2
End8.4
red by 3.3
5885
#10
26.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End9.0
Second
7757
#28
16.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 8.1
24.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End6.0
Third
4938
#20
11.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 11.3
22.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned87%HAB Docking oddsEarned