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Red64
459511.9
540918.7
688111.0
Blue39
493811.5
568916.3
748016.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46500204060801001206439

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5409
#12
18.70.1
19.719.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End5.8
red by 2.2
7480
#22
16.50.5
17.116.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
Second
4595
#34
11.90.1
12.512.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.8
blue by 4.4
5689
#27
16.30.6
17.617.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End4.7
Third
6881
#25
11.00.1
11.711.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End2.8
blue by 0.5
4938
#20DQ
11.50.5
12.211.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsMissed