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Red39
540918.7
568916.3
687511.1
Blue69
591111.0
263422.2
588526.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51622030407080903969

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5409
#12
18.70.6
19.819.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End5.8
blue by 7.6
5885
#10
26.30.5
26.426.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End9.0
Second
5689
#27
16.30.7
17.016.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End4.7
blue by 5.9
2634
#18
22.20.5
22.222.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Third
6875
#38
11.10.6
11.711.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End2.5
red by 0.1
5911
#24
11.00.5
10.511.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned