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Red51
142513.7
466213.6
703412.5
Blue26
252115.6
7535.7
95712.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434802060801001201401605126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#19
13.70.6
15.414.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.5
blue by 1.9
2521
#18
15.61.3
20.218.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Second
13.60.6
14.213.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.0
red by 1.5
957
#16
12.11.3
14.613.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Third
12.50.6
11.410.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End3.9
red by 6.8
753
#20
5.71.3
10.69.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed