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Red58
363615.4
135910.4
703412.5
Blue52
273318.8
634314.3
252115.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395502060801005852

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.41.2
17.718.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 3.4
2733
#14
18.80.0
19.919.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End6.5
Second
12.51.2
10.812.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End3.9
blue by 3.1
2521
#18
15.60.0
18.918.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Third
10.41.2
8.39.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End3.4
blue by 3.9
14.30.0
13.113.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsEarned