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Red48
135910.4
644323.0
252115.6
Blue49
281115.0
95712.1
634314.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524102060801004849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.1
23.022.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.4
End9.1
red by 8.0
15.00.7
13.914.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End5.4
Second
2521
#18
15.60.1
15.715.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End3.5
red by 1.3
14.30.7
13.514.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End4.8
Third
10.40.1
10.410.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End3.4
blue by 1.7
957
#16
12.10.7
11.412.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned38%HAB Docking oddsEarned