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Red27
634314.3
363615.4
142513.7
Blue19
24117.4
703412.5
7535.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553502060801002719

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.41.8
19.617.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.1
red by 2.9
12.51.0
12.411.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End3.9
Second
14.31.8
14.913.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End4.8
red by 6.9
2411
#10Sur
7.41.0
9.68.7
Auto4.0
Teleop0.4
End2.9
Third
1425
#19Sur
13.71.8
17.215.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.5
red by 8.0
753
#20
5.71.0
11.510.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed