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Red80
404330.7
448828.6
411015.1
Blue79
247123.2
367431.1
519814.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7973506070901008079

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.1
30.830.8
Auto5.4
Teleop21.3
End4.0
blue by 0.4
31.10.1
31.231.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End7.5
Second
28.60.1
28.728.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End9.0
red by 5.4
23.20.1
23.323.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End7.6
Third
4110
#30
15.10.1
15.215.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
red by 0.4
5198
#17
14.80.1
14.814.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End3.6