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Red63
644521.4
644327.2
151014.1
Blue49
273320.5
99725.4
597014.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666550556070756349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.0
27.027.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End10.2
red by 1.8
997
#9
25.40.6
25.925.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Second
6445
#14
21.40.0
21.321.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End4.4
red by 0.9
2733
#18
20.50.6
21.020.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End5.0
Third
1510
#35
14.10.0
13.914.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 0.1
5970
#24
14.20.6
14.814.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End2.7