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Red50
405722.2
74488.8
263515.6
Blue40
597511.6
546818.6
151014.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353701020305060705040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.3
18.820.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.6
red by 3.6
5468
#16
18.60.3
15.115.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Second
2635
#26
15.61.3
10.511.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End4.1
red by 1.5
1510
#35
14.10.3
9.49.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Third
7448
#31
8.81.1
3.44.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End2.5
blue by 2.9
5975
#20
11.60.3
10.711.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed