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Red68
74488.8
247123.2
281122.6
Blue51
412714.9
273320.5
143218.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456020801006851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.4
18.319.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End7.6
red by 2.7
2733
#18
20.50.1
21.121.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End5.0
Second
22.61.4
18.019.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End8.2
red by 4.1
1432
#23
18.40.1
19.719.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End8.4
Third
7448
#31
8.81.4
5.06.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End2.5
blue by 6.1
4127
#19
14.90.1
12.312.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned