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Red60
597014.2
99725.4
597511.6
Blue40
634317.0
157116.1
319213.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48473540455055606040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#9
25.40.3
21.221.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
red by 8.4
6343
#11
17.00.5
17.917.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End5.0
Second
5970
#24
14.20.3
13.513.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 1.9
1571
#21
16.10.5
14.914.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Third
5975
#20
11.60.3
10.711.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End5.2
blue by 2.2
3192
#27
13.80.5
11.911.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed