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Red31
273320.5
151014.1
72048.8
Blue78
466219.6
411015.1
252122.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415502060803178

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#18
20.50.5
20.820.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End5.0
blue by 1.5
2521
#13
22.00.3
18.318.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Second
1510
#35
14.10.5
10.29.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 5.6
4662
#10
19.60.3
17.417.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Third
7204
#28
8.80.5
7.67.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End2.9
blue by 6.3
4110
#30
15.10.3
16.516.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed