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Red33
70329.8
644521.4
319213.8
Blue52
404330.7
289819.2
411015.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356210203040507080903352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6445
#14
21.40.0
16.816.8
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End4.4
blue by 9.3
30.70.5
24.924.4
Auto5.4
Teleop21.3
End4.0
Second
3192
#27
13.80.0
10.010.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End3.2
blue by 5.4
2898
#15
19.20.5
19.018.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
7032
#36
9.80.0
6.06.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End3.1
blue by 5.4
4110
#30
15.10.5
15.214.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed