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Red58
546818.6
412714.9
545017.4
Blue35
84717.7
95513.7
289819.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049354045555835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#16
18.60.7
16.517.2
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End3.1
blue by 0.6
2898
#15
19.21.0
20.119.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Second
5450
#29
17.40.7
16.517.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 0.3
847
#33
17.71.0
18.217.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
4127
#19
14.90.7
13.914.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.2
red by 1.1
955
#12
13.71.0
8.67.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed