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Red64
99725.4
644327.2
70329.8
Blue73
241112.4
405722.2
252122.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57482030406070806473

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.7
25.025.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End10.2
red by 5.0
22.21.7
19.721.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.6
Second
997
#9
25.40.7
21.522.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
red by 3.4
2521
#13
22.01.7
18.620.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Third
7032
#36
9.80.7
7.58.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End3.1
blue by 2.7
2411
#32
12.41.7
7.08.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned