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Red65
252122.0
448828.6
546818.6
Blue61
143218.4
99725.4
644521.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696440506080906561

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
28.027.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End9.0
red by 3.2
997
#9
25.40.0
22.122.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Second
2521
#13
22.00.4
20.319.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.1
End5.5
red by 0.6
6445
#14
21.40.0
19.919.9
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End4.4
Third
5468
#16
18.60.4
17.216.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End3.1
red by 0.2
1432
#23
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsEarned