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Red49
281122.6
412714.9
72048.8
Blue59
157116.1
252122.0
644327.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33581020405070804959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.2
15.716.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End8.2
blue by 4.6
27.20.3
23.023.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End10.2
Second
4127
#19
14.91.3
10.912.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.2
blue by 7.1
2521
#13
22.00.3
19.119.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Third
7204
#28
8.81.2
5.06.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End2.9
blue by 7.3
1571
#21
16.10.3
12.913.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsMissed