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Red58
545017.4
319213.8
448828.6
Blue53
237415.7
281122.6
241112.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615020304070805853

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.0
27.627.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End9.0
red by 6.0
22.60.4
21.722.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End8.2
Second
5450
#29
17.40.0
17.918.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End2.9
red by 1.7
2374
#25
15.70.4
14.414.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End3.0
Third
3192
#27
13.80.0
12.312.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End3.2
red by 1.4
2411
#32
12.40.4
10.811.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned