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Red53
412714.9
319213.8
466219.6
Blue59
404330.7
237415.7
381215.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47632030407080905359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4662
#10
19.60.6
19.319.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 11.0
30.70.1
31.331.3
Auto5.4
Teleop21.3
End4.0
Second
4127
#19
14.90.6
13.113.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.2
blue by 1.0
3812
#34
15.80.1
13.813.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End3.6
Third
3192
#27
13.80.6
12.312.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End3.2
blue by 2.0
2374
#25
15.70.1
14.814.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed