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Red73
289819.2
281122.6
273320.5
Blue67
263515.6
404330.7
597014.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676650607080907367

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.1
22.122.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End8.2
blue by 8.1
30.70.4
31.931.6
Auto5.4
Teleop21.3
End4.0
Second
2733
#18
20.50.1
21.221.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End5.0
red by 4.9
2635
#26
15.60.4
16.015.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End4.1
Third
2898
#15
19.20.1
19.519.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.9
End2.9
red by 4.9
5970
#24
14.20.4
15.415.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed