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Red68
404330.7
448828.6
411015.1
Blue73
405722.2
281122.6
95719.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806730405060901001106873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.2
31.230.9
Auto5.4
Teleop21.3
End4.0
red by 8.1
22.60.0
22.522.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End8.2
Second
28.60.2
29.128.8
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End9.0
red by 6.4
22.20.0
22.122.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.6
Third
4110
#30
15.10.2
15.615.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 4.1
957
#22
19.20.0
19.119.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End5.0