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Red85
404330.7
448828.6
411015.1
Blue74
405722.2
281122.6
95719.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7967405060901008574

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.2
30.931.1
Auto5.4
Teleop21.3
End4.0
red by 8.1
22.60.1
22.522.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End8.2
Second
28.60.2
28.829.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End9.0
red by 6.4
22.20.1
22.122.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.6
Third
4110
#30
15.10.2
15.315.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 4.1
957
#22
19.20.1
19.119.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End5.0