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Red40
646514.8
291518.2
24118.2
Blue36
363621.1
367312.1
412710.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44362030405060704036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2915
#15
18.20.1
17.016.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.0
End3.1
blue by 2.9
3636
#21
21.10.1
16.116.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.6
Second
6465
#19
14.80.2
14.414.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End4.0
red by 2.8
3673
#33
12.10.1
8.48.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.0
Third
2411
#34
8.20.2
9.99.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 2.7
4127
#30
10.90.2
10.010.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed