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Red45
291518.2
313114.5
448824.4
Blue45
406018.1
263510.5
367424.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444820304060704545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End7.3
blue by 0.2
3674
#13
24.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End4.9
Second
2915
#15
18.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.0
End3.1
red by 0.1
4060
#16
18.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End5.8
Third
3131
#18
14.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End2.3
red by 4.0
2635
#35
10.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed