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Red46
646514.8
597510.7
367424.6
Blue33
363621.1
411015.2
263510.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443354050554633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#13
24.60.1
18.218.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End4.9
red by 3.5
3636
#21
21.10.5
16.215.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.6
Second
6465
#19
14.80.1
14.314.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End4.0
blue by 0.4
4110
#22
15.20.9
12.711.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Third
5975
#17
10.70.1
9.59.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End4.6
red by 0.1
2635
#35
10.50.9
12.011.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed