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Red45
703416.4
157112.9
367312.1
Blue57
143221.7
142524.7
406018.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395510203050607080904557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.3
14.815.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End3.1
blue by 8.3
24.70.3
19.419.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End8.1
Second
1571
#31
12.90.5
12.412.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 8.7
21.70.6
15.115.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End8.8
Third
3673
#33
12.10.3
10.110.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.0
blue by 6.0
4060
#16
18.10.3
17.217.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsEarned