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Red56
56810.4
669614.5
363621.1
Blue40
684523.9
59775.4
597013.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4246102030506070805640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#21
21.11.1
15.416.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.6
blue by 2.8
6845
#10
23.90.2
23.923.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.5
Second
6696
#14
14.51.1
12.914.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.9
red by 1.1
5970
#29
13.40.4
15.715.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Third
568
#32
10.41.1
11.312.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End1.8
red by 5.1
5977
#27
5.40.2
4.13.8
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed