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Red30
59775.4
367312.1
411015.2
Blue55
508520.6
291518.2
597013.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315210204060703055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4110
#22
15.20.1
14.314.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End2.4
blue by 5.4
20.60.2
17.017.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End4.8
Second
3673
#33
12.10.0
10.710.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.0
blue by 6.1
2915
#15
18.20.2
17.417.6
Auto3.1
Teleop12.0
End3.1
Third
5977
#27
5.40.0
4.34.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 8.0
5970
#29
13.40.3
14.615.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed