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Red70
684523.9
466214.9
669614.5
Blue26
367312.1
508520.6
24118.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45381020305060707026

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6845
#10
23.90.7
20.521.1
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.5
red by 3.3
20.60.8
14.914.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End4.8
Second
4662
#28
14.91.0
13.314.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
red by 2.9
3673
#33
12.10.8
9.28.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.0
Third
6696
#14
14.50.7
9.29.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.9
red by 6.2
2411
#34
8.21.2
12.411.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed