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Red26
597013.4
367424.6
56810.4
Blue65
247118.4
142524.7
646514.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565930405070802665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#13
24.62.6
24.922.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End4.9
blue by 0.1
24.70.4
24.524.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End8.1
Second
5970
#29
13.42.6
15.012.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 5.0
18.40.6
16.817.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End7.1
Third
568
#32
10.41.8
13.211.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 4.4
6465
#19
14.80.6
14.314.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned