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Red33
15109.4
412710.9
263510.5
Blue54
135912.0
683114.7
466214.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34420102030506070803354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4127
#30
10.90.2
11.411.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 4.0
4662
#28
14.90.7
15.316.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Second
2635
#35
10.50.2
10.09.8
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
blue by 4.1
6831
#25
14.70.6
14.815.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Third
1510
#23
9.40.2
10.510.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End1.8
blue by 2.6
1359
#20
12.00.6
9.610.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed