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Red70
363621.1
597510.7
142524.7
Blue49
302415.5
24118.2
406018.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554302060807049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.2
24.926.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End8.1
red by 6.6
4060
#16
18.10.6
18.218.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End5.8
Second
3636
#21
21.11.2
18.319.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.6
red by 5.5
15.50.6
14.915.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End7.0
Third
5975
#17
10.71.5
8.510.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End4.6
red by 2.4
2411
#34
8.20.7
7.58.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsEarned