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Red35
597013.4
157112.9
24118.2
Blue53
313114.5
252119.1
135912.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3643102030405060703553

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5970
#29
13.40.0
13.313.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 5.8
2521
#12
19.10.9
17.218.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Second
1571
#31
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 1.6
3131
#18
14.50.8
13.614.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Third
2411
#34
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 3.7
1359
#20
12.00.8
10.211.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed