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Red34
546811.9
371123.3
255014.7
Blue65
644516.8
142518.4
684520.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545835404550606570753465

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.4
23.723.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End8.7
red by 2.8
6845
#22
20.50.3
20.220.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End4.6
Second
2550
#25
14.70.4
15.114.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End3.2
blue by 3.7
18.40.2
18.118.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End7.7
Third
5468
#24
11.90.4
12.311.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 4.9
6445
#18
16.80.3
16.516.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End2.8