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Red44
99719.6
273319.9
363615.6
Blue55
291517.0
405718.8
322315.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60552040801004455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.5
20.419.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End6.2
red by 1.1
18.80.1
19.119.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End7.5
Second
997
#6
19.60.4
20.019.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 2.6
2915
#11
17.00.1
17.317.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.3
Third
3636
#17
15.60.5
16.115.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End3.2
red by 0.3
3223
#29
15.30.1
15.615.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End3.3