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Red45
291517.0
13597.6
644323.6
Blue30
302411.0
40518.1
75312.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362901020405060704530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.1
15.715.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End8.7
red by 11.7
753
#21
12.00.0
10.210.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End3.2
Second
2915
#11
17.00.1
12.913.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.3
red by 6.0
3024
#34
11.00.0
10.910.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Third
1359
#31
7.60.1
5.96.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 0.5
4051
#28
8.10.0
6.16.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed