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Red48
644516.8
9556.3
371123.3
Blue49
255014.7
99719.6
634316.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424330354045504849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.9
19.320.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End8.7
red by 3.7
997
#6
19.60.9
15.516.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Second
6445
#18
16.80.9
13.214.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End2.8
red by 0.4
6343
#14
16.40.9
14.315.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.5
Third
955
#35
6.30.9
7.48.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End2.1
blue by 8.4
2550
#25
14.70.9
11.112.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed