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Red58
683112.2
273319.9
291517.0
Blue52
546811.9
299019.8
644516.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505145555852

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.9
19.520.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End6.2
red by 0.1
2990
#10
19.80.3
19.219.5
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End3.5
Second
2915
#11
17.00.8
16.317.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.3
red by 0.2
6445
#18
16.80.3
15.916.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
6831
#30
12.20.8
11.412.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.5
red by 0.3
5468
#24
11.90.3
12.713.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed