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Red73
201622.7
31622.2
457320.7
Blue95
21920.7
30328.7
540129.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65693040506080901007395

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#11
22.70.1
21.321.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
blue by 7.0
5401
#10
29.72.0
23.325.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End6.2
Second
316
#16
22.20.1
20.320.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
blue by 6.5
303
#5
28.72.0
26.528.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Third
4573
#23
20.70.1
19.920.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Level
219
#18
20.72.0
15.417.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsEarned