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Red60
27222.6
255418.4
201622.7
Blue64
436114.6
55516.0
108921.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59482040801006064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#11
22.70.1
21.421.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
red by 1.3
1089
#14
21.41.2
17.418.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End4.7
Second
272
#19
22.60.1
20.920.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End5.7
red by 6.6
555
#15
16.01.2
12.713.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Third
2554
#17
18.40.1
14.014.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End4.8
red by 3.8
4361
#26
14.61.2
15.716.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsEarned