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Red51
540129.7
463717.1
22417.8
Blue84
32125.3
259027.1
34122.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56662040801005184

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#10
29.70.2
25.225.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End6.2
red by 2.7
27.11.4
22.624.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Second
224
#8
17.80.2
13.613.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End5.6
blue by 7.5
321
#13
25.31.4
22.323.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.4
End6.2
Third
4637
#20
17.10.2
14.514.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End3.1
blue by 5.5
341
#21
22.51.4
17.619.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned