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Red45
27222.6
34122.5
680812.3
Blue80
31622.2
436114.6
540129.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54652040801004580

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#19
22.60.4
19.619.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End5.7
blue by 7.1
5401
#10
29.70.9
25.125.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End6.2
Second
341
#21
22.50.4
19.018.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End5.1
red by 0.3
316
#16
22.20.9
20.521.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
Third
6808
#31
12.30.4
12.812.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End2.8
blue by 2.3
4361
#26
14.60.9
15.616.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsEarned