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Red49
78779.7
201622.7
32125.3
Blue54
21920.7
255418.4
139125.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586102040801001204954

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#13
25.31.1
23.722.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.4
End6.2
red by 0.1
25.30.3
24.624.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End6.9
Second
2016
#11
22.71.1
21.820.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
red by 2.0
219
#18
20.70.3
19.018.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.4
Third
7877
#27
9.71.1
9.58.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 8.7
2554
#17
18.40.3
14.514.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed75%HAB Docking oddsMissed