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Red41
139125.3
457320.7
436114.6
Blue72
463717.1
540426.8
540129.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67730204060801001201404172

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.5
25.023.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End6.9
blue by 4.5
5401
#10
29.70.2
27.527.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End6.2
Second
4573
#23
20.71.5
21.119.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.0
End4.7
blue by 6.1
26.80.2
24.825.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.8
End7.8
Third
4361
#26
14.61.5
17.015.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End4.9
blue by 2.5
4637
#20
17.10.2
16.716.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned