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Red80
759912.3
180732.3
463717.1
Blue75
31622.2
562417.7
139125.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59672040801008075

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.6
29.731.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.8
End7.6
red by 7.0
25.30.7
22.823.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End6.9
Second
4637
#20
17.11.6
16.217.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End3.1
blue by 5.1
316
#16
22.20.7
22.423.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
Third
7599
#28
12.31.6
10.011.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End1.7
blue by 5.4
5624
#22
17.70.7
18.719.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsEarned