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Red85
8712.5
540129.7
32125.3
Blue58
78779.7
260730.4
108921.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696740506080901008558

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#10
29.70.9
29.730.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End6.2
blue by 0.6
30.40.4
31.330.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.6
End7.3
Second
321
#13
25.30.9
24.825.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.4
End6.2
red by 3.9
1089
#14
21.40.4
21.621.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End4.7
Third
87
#30
12.50.9
11.212.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End2.6
red by 2.8
7877
#27
9.70.4
10.910.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned